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Overview

Ukraine Remains Resilient

As Ukraine enters a third winter of war, Russia¡¯s invasion continues to cause staggering losses to people and the economy.

Poverty in Ukraine has increased by at least 1.8 million people to reach 9 million since the start of the war.

Substantial infrastructure damage and extensive electricity disruptions are likely to slow economic growth to 3.2% in 2024 and 2% in 2025.

While many are suffering, the government and the people of Ukraine continue to show remarkable resilience in the face of extensive devastation.

World Bank Group, donor, and partner support is helping the government to maintain public services.  The Ukrainian people continue to receive their pension, doctors and teachers are able to collect their salaries, hospitals remain open, and businesses are running.

Ukraine¡¯s private sector has demonstrated remarkable resilience yet faces considerable challenges as it navigates the ongoing conflict and its economic aftermath. While exports have resumed, financial fragility persists, particularly for small businesses.

Ukraine¡¯s Needs

Ukraine faces immense financial needs in the coming years and?private sector investment will be critical. The country will need at least $486 billion over the next decade to repair and rebuild, according to our ?(RDNA3) released in February 2024. The highest estimated needs are in housing (17%), transport (15%), commerce and industry (14%), agriculture (12%), energy (10%), social protection and livelihoods (9%), and explosive hazard management (7%). With timely reforms to improve the investment environment, private sector?could cover around one-third?of reconstruction needs, as well as $280 billion in opportunities in other sectors.

Private investment potential is already substantial in agriculture, commerce, industry, banking, and housing. Policy reforms and deeper integration with the EU could boost private sector participation in the infrastructure sectors and pave the way for green and resilient reconstruction.

Private sector investment and engagement are key to Ukraine¡¯s strong recovery and reconstruction efforts. Ukraine¡¯s small and medium-sized enterprises, including mid-size companies, make up the lion¡¯s share of Ukraine¡¯s private sector and need support to help the economy stay afloat and Ukrainians to remain employed.

Last Updated: Oct 29, 2024

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(380 44) 490-6671
5, Alla Tarasova Street, 2nd Floor, Kyiv, Ukraine, 01001