This roundup of trade research, data, and policy insights by the Development Research Group at the World Bank focuses on the early impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the international movement of goods and services, and the people affected.
FEATURED RESEARCH
How Resilient Was Trade to COVID-19?
Maria Bas, Ana Margarida Fernandes, and Caroline Paunov
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9975, March 2022
This paper examines which product supply-side characteristics affect the resilience of traded products to the COVID-19 pandemic. Relying on monthly product-level exports by all countries to the United States, Japan, and 27 European Union countries from January 2018 to December 2020, the paper estimates a difference-in-differences specification for the impact of COVID-19 incidence (deaths per capita) mediated by product characteristics, accounting for when exports reach their destination by relying on product transportation lags. Higher reliance on foreign inputs, China as an input supplier, and unskilled labor and a lower degree of complexity negatively affected exports as a result of COVID-19.
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Cristina Constantinescu, Ana Margarida Fernandes, Arti Grover, Stavros Poupakis, and Santiago Reyes
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9991, April 2022Maria Bas, Ana Margarida Fernandes, and Caroline Paunov
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9975, March 2022
Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, and ?a?lar ?zden
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9873, December 2021Ruchir Agarwal, Tristan Reed
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9632, April 2021 |?
Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicolas Gomez Parra, ?a?lar ?zden, Bob Rijkers, Mariana Viollaz, Hernan Winkler
Å·ÃÀÈÕb´óƬ Research Observer 36 (1): 67¨C100, February 2021 | | COVID-19 eSeminar Video (July 2020) | Story (October 2020)Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, ?a?lar ?zden
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 9500, December 2020
Pinelopi K. Goldberg and Tristan Reed, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Summer, 161-211, 2020Understanding the shock, its economic implications, and the policy challenge
Box I.B.2. in -
Mamta Murthi, Tristan Reed | Investing in Health, September 24, 2021
Laurent Bossavie, Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Mattia Makovec, ?a?lar ?zden | VoxEU | September 1, 2021Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Tristan Reed, Brookings BPEA article, June 25, 2020
Tristan Reed | Let¡¯s Talk Development, June 17, 2021
Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicol¨¢s G¨®mez Parra, ?a?lar ?zden, Bob Rijkers | Future Development, May 18, 2020
Penny Bamber, Karina Fernandez-Stark, | Let¡¯s Talk Development, May 12, 2020, , ?a?lar ?zden | Let¡¯s Talk Development, May 11, 2020
POLICY BRIEFS
Mamta Murthi and Tristan Reed, Research & Policy Brief 49, World Bank, Washington, DC, August 2021, Tristan Reed | Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, June 25, 2020
Daniel Garrote Sanchez, Nicolas Gomez Parra, ?a?lar ?zden, Bob Rijkers | Research & Policy Brief 34, World Bank, May 2020
Tristan Reed, William Waites, David Manheim, Damien de Walque, Chiara Vallini, Roberta Gatti, Timothy B. Hallett | Research & Policy Brief 43, March 2021
PRESENTATIONS
April 11, 2020
Tristan Reed, Fujie Wang, Nicolas Gomez Parra, Nicolas Eduardo Santos Villagran, Erhan Artuc, ?a?lar ?zden,
This presentation provides rules of thumb for assessing national needs for medical supplies, specifically personal protection equipment (PPE) for health workers, ventilators and testing kits, and a rough estimate of global demand.
April 1, 2020
Hiau Looi Kee
Background note prepared for presentation on short term impacts on trade due to lockdown in China. -
Developing a Plan to Vaccinate the World
June 2, 2021In this talk by World Bank economist, Tristan Reed, explored new research on vaccine demand and supply that offers a path to reaching higher vaccination coverage against COVID-19, including challenges and opportunities around closing global vaccination gaps, examining vaccine need given age structures, available vaccines and COVID-19 dynamics, organized demand and financing for vaccine purchasing, vaccine supply chains and production capacity of manufacturers, and what the international community should do next.
| | | | | | More about Tristan ReedThe Labor Market Impacts of COVID-19
July 6, 2020 | VideoThe novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has sparked deep concerns about the effects of the pandemic shock on employment. Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University), Edward Glaeser (Harvard University), Bob Rijkers (World Bank), and David Autor (MIT) discussed new research on how COVID-19 is rapidly changing labor market outcomes around the globe.
Labor Mobility, Migration, and COVID-19
May 14, 2020 | VideoBorder closures, social distancing measures, and economic lockdowns are among the standard and immediate policies being implemented in the fight against COVID-19. The impact on labor markets¡ªespecially on migrant workers and their employers¡ªhas been swift and severe. Mushfiq Mobarak (Professor of Economics, Yale University), and Erhan Artuc (Senior Economist, World Bank).
Trade and Global Value Chains in the Age of COVID-19
April 22, 2020 | VideoHow is COVID-19 disrupting global value chains? How will impaired global trade affect countries' ability to save lives and livelihoods? Richard Baldwin (Professor, Graduate Institute Geneva), Vasco Carvalho (Professor, Cambridge University), and Simon Evenett (Professor, University of St Gallen).