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Overview

Antigua and Barbuda, the Commonwealth of Dominica, Grenada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines are members of the World Bank.

These Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) countries are small states with a combined population of approximately 625,000. Their small size limits access to economies of scale, which shapes the economy's structure by limiting diversification and international trade, and increases exposure to volatility, natural hazards, and other shocks. 

Economic Outlook

The OECS is heavily dependent on tourism, which contributes to 39 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on average and accounts for some 11 percent of the region's jobs. The economic performance of OECS countries is therefore influenced by the tourism sector, as well as economic cycles in main tourism source markets - the USA, Canada, and Europe. This dependency was particularly evident after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic. Relying on tourism also makes the region vulnerable to the effects of extreme weather events, as they can disrupt tourist arrivals and further impact the economy.

In Dominica, the economy relies on tourism and is supported by significant public investment funded by citizenship by investment revenues. The development of geothermal resources and the construction of an international airport are expected to boost both structural and potential growth.

Economic growth has helped mitigate losses from disasters, and efforts to keep inflation low aim to reduce poverty in the medium term. Dominica is still affected by fluctuating food and fuel costs, the economic impacts of global political events, and reliance on unpredictable central bank revenues.

Grenada's economic growth in 2023 was estimated to have reached 4.8%, with an average of 3.7% in the medium term, as tourism and construction are expanding. Strong private investment is expected to support construction while implementing resilience and climate reforms will positively impact the economy. Inflation is predicted to peak at 2.7% in 2023, and to 2.0 percent from 2024 onwards. Amid moderate economic growth and controlled inflation, poverty (US$6.85 a day in 2017 PPP) is projected to fall below pre-pandemic levels in 2024 and continue to decline in 2025 and 2026.

The Disaster Risk Strategy, aimed at detailing a comprehensive plan including policies, cost, and financing for building resilience to natural disasters and climate change, will help mitigate climate-related risks.

Saint Lucia's growth was expected to be moderate at 3.2% in 2023, with a further slowdown in the medium term. This growth will be supported by tourist arrivals and major construction projects, such as airport renovations and hotel construction, peaking in 2024 and 2025. Poverty reduction will continue, though at a slower pace in the medium term, and inflationary pressures are expected to ease.

St. Vincent and the Grenadines was expected to maintain sturdy growth at 6.5 percent in 2023 and 5.0 percent in 2024, driven by a rebound in tourism that surpasses 2019 levels. Poverty is expected to follow a similar path. Tourism growth over the medium term will be further supported by a new airport and additional hotel and resort facilities.

The government has taken measures to rebuild fiscal reserves, including replenishing the contingency fund after using it in response to the volcanic eruption. These measures involve prioritizing public investment in port modernization and a new hospital while reducing other projects, increasing customs service charges, improving taxpayer compliance, and reforming pension funding.

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Country Office Contacts

In the Caribbean
Penny Bowen
Kingston
Jamaica
+1 (876) 861-2468