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China Economic Update - June 2015




Key Findings

Recent Economic Developments

  • The transition to a more moderate¡ªand more balanced¡ªgrowth trajectory continues
  • The aggregate credit impulse moderated despite policy efforts to lower financing costs
  • Fiscal policy remains accommodative as quasi-fiscal expenditures tighten
  • Decelerating economic activity is affecting wages more than jobs in the urban labor market
  • Capital outflows have increased sharply as domestic and external conditions change

Economic Prospects

  • China¡¯s growth will keep moderating as the transition to more sustainable growth consolidates
  • Balancing reforms and short-term demand management remains a priority in 2015
  • The transition to the ¡°new normal¡± requires a better allocation of credit and indigenous capacity for innovation

Last Updated: Jul 02, 2015